PG
Paramount Global (PARA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered stable top-line ex-Super Bowl and meaningful DTC profit improvement: revenue $7.19B (-6% YoY; +2% ex-Super Bowl), GAAP diluted EPS $0.22 vs ($0.88) YoY, Adjusted OIBDA $688M; DTC Adjusted OIBDA improved $177M YoY as Paramount+ reached 79M subs (+1.5M net adds) with stronger engagement and lower churn .
- Advertising fell 19% YoY due to the Super Bowl lap, but ex-Super Bowl was flat; total affiliate & subscription revenue returned to growth (+1% YoY). Free cash flow was $123M on $180M operating cash flow .
- TV Media was pressured by the Super Bowl comp and affiliate declines; DTC subscription growth (+16%) and engagement gains offset digital ad softness (Pluto supply/demand). Filmed Entertainment improved profitability on Sonic the Hedgehog 3 strength .
- Outlook: Management reiterated 2025 Paramount+ domestic profitability, expects 2025 free cash flow growth, and again sees combined affiliate + subscription revenue growing; near-term, Q2 subs to decline (seasonality/bundle termination), film OIBDA loss (marketing timing), and digital ad trends similar to Q1 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Paramount+ momentum: 79M subs (+1.5M net adds), 17% higher watch time per user, churn improved 130 bps; Paramount+ revenue +16% YoY; “Paramount+ again had the second most Top 10 SVOD originals” (management) .
- Direct-to-Consumer profitability trajectory: DTC Adjusted OIBDA improved by $177M YoY to a loss of $109M, driven by subscription growth and expense discipline; management reiterated 2025 domestic profitability for Paramount+ .
- Filmed Entertainment profitability: OIBDA improved $23M YoY, aided by Sonic the Hedgehog 3 across home entertainment/streaming; Gladiator II ranked as most-viewed film ever on Paramount+ (management) .
Quotes:
- “We are particularly proud of our progress in DTC… Paramount+ saw continued improvement in subscribers, user watch time and churn and remains on track to reach domestic profitability for 2025.” – Co-CEOs .
- “Paramount+ ended the quarter with 79 million global subscribers… Global watch time per user increased 17%… churn improved 130 basis points…” – Chris McCarthy .
What Went Wrong
- Advertising headwind from Super Bowl lap: Total company ad revenue -19% YoY; ex-Super Bowl, flat; digital monetization softness given increased supply (Pluto disproportionately affected) .
- TV Media declines: Revenue -13% YoY; Adjusted OIBDA -36%, with affiliate/subscription -9% and ad -21% (ex-Super Bowl flat) .
- Digital ad environment: DTC advertising -9% YoY (8-pt Super Bowl impact); excluding the comp, down ~1% due to supply influx; management expects stabilization over time but not yet evident .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance (oldest → newest)
Q1 YoY comps (for context): Revenue $7.192B vs $7.685B (-6%); Adjusted OIBDA $688M vs $987M; Adjusted EPS $0.29 vs $0.62; GAAP diluted EPS $0.22 vs ($0.88) .
Segment breakdown (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Notes:
- TV Media advertising -21% YoY due to Super Bowl lap; ex-Super Bowl, flat; affiliate/subscription -9% .
- DTC subscription revenue +16%; advertising -9% (8-pt Super Bowl impact); global viewing hours +31% across Paramount+ and Pluto .
- Filmed Entertainment revenue +4% and OIBDA +$23M YoY on Sonic 3 .
KPIs (Q1 2025)
- Paramount+ subscribers: 79M; net adds: +1.5M; Paramount+ revenue +16% YoY; ARPU +2% YoY; watch time/user +17% YoY; churn improved 130 bps .
- Company-wide: Total ad revenue -19% YoY (flat ex-Super Bowl); total affiliate & subscription revenue +1% YoY; operating cash flow $180M; free cash flow $123M .
Guidance Changes
No explicit numerical revenue/EPS guidance was provided; management emphasized qualitative/segment-level outlook .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “Our focused execution with high-performing content drove strong results… We are particularly proud of our progress in DTC… and [remain] on track to reach domestic profitability for 2025.” – Co-CEOs .
- DTC engagement: “Global watch time per user increased 17% year-over-year and churn improved 130 basis points year-over-year… Paramount+ revenue increased 16% year-over-year.” – Chris McCarthy .
- Digital ad environment: “Monetization has been softer than expected due to the influx of supply… we anticipate supply-demand dynamics will stabilize over time… engagement… will lead to improved monetization over time.” – Chris McCarthy .
- Film profitability discipline: “We successfully reduced average production costs… by 35% over the last 24 months.” – Brian Robbins .
- 2025 outlook: “We continue to expect to deliver Paramount+ domestic profitability for 2025… working toward the full year OIBDA and free cash flow outlook… though macro ad uncertainty has potential to impact results.” – Naveen Chopra .
Q&A Highlights
- Digital ads/Pluto: Pricing pressure from new supply persists; management expects normalization but hasn’t seen it yet; CBS sports strength offset digital softness in Q1 .
- Affiliate economics: Renewals secure distribution; if reverse comp dynamics shift materially, could impact CBS sports/primetime investments, but relationships remain strong .
- Licensing balance: Maintain valuable IP to grow owned platforms; selectively co-exclusive or window after O&O; secondary licensing remains a growth business .
- Sports rights appetite: Disciplined, opportunistic; maintain optimal portfolio focused on audience scale .
- Q2 color: Digital ad trends similar to Q1; Q2 subs to decline (seasonality + hard bundle end); film OIBDA loss due to marketing timing; Q2 FCF similar YoY with ~ $100M restructuring; 2025 FCF growth reiterated .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus for Q1 2025 was unavailable via our tooling at this time; therefore, “vs estimates” comparisons could not be provided. We will update when S&P Global consensus retrieval becomes available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Paramount+ engagement and churn continue to improve alongside double-digit subscription revenue growth; the company reiterated 2025 domestic profitability, a key de-risking milestone for the DTC investment cycle .
- Ex-Super Bowl, the ad line stabilized in Q1 (flat), but digital ad monetization (Pluto) lags engagement; watch for supply/demand normalization and upfront outcomes as catalysts .
- TV Media remains under structural pressure (affiliate declines), but total affiliate & subscription revenue has turned positive at the company level as streaming scales—monitor the net of linear erosion vs DTC growth each quarter .
- Film profitability discipline and franchise flywheel (Sonic 3, Gladiator II) support downstream streaming economics; near-term, Mission: Impossible marketing produces Q2 OIBDA headwind before revenue tailwinds accrue .
- Cash discipline improving: FCF positive in Q1 ($123M) with 2025 growth reiterated despite macro ad uncertainty; restructuring cash outflows weigh near term (Q2 ~ $100M) .
- Event path: Skydance transaction remains targeted to close 1H 2025; closing clarity, upfront demand, and digital ad market balance are likely stock catalysts over the next 1-2 quarters .